Friday, February 07, 2025

x̄ - > Python Example for Fundamental Analysis

 

Fundamental Analysis

Definition: Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating a security by attempting to measure its intrinsic value. This involves analyzing various economic, financial, and other qualitative and quantitative factors. It's commonly used in the context of stocks, but it can also apply to other investments like bonds or real estate. Fundamental analysts study everything from the overall economy and industry conditions to the financial condition and management of companies.

Key Components of Fundamental Analysis:
  1. Economic Analysis:
    • Macroeconomic Indicators: GDP growth rates, inflation rates, interest rates, unemployment rates, etc.
    • Global Economic Trends: How international markets, trade policies, and geopolitical events might affect the investment.
  2. Industry Analysis:
    • Sector Performance: How is the sector or industry performing compared to others?
    • Competitive Landscape: Analysis of competitors, market share, barriers to entry, and technological advancements.
  3. Company Analysis:
    • Financial Statements: Income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements are dissected to understand profitability, liquidity, solvency, and operational efficiency.
      • Ratios:
        • Profitability Ratios (like Return on Equity, Net Profit Margin)
        • Liquidity Ratios (like Current Ratio, Quick Ratio)
        • Solvency Ratios (like Debt-to-Equity Ratio)
        • Valuation Ratios (like Price-to-Earnings Ratio, Price-to-Book Ratio)
    • Quality of Management: Leadership track record, strategic vision, and governance practices.
    • Future Growth Prospects: Earnings forecasts, product pipeline, R&D investments, etc.
  4. Quantitative vs. Qualitative Factors:
    • Quantitative: Numbers from financial statements, growth rates, etc.
    • Qualitative: Management quality, brand strength, regulatory environment, patent holdings, etc.

Python Example for Fundamental Analysis:
Here's a basic example using Python to perform some fundamental analysis on stock data:

python
import yfinance as yf
import pandas as pd

# Fetch data for Microsoft
msft = yf.Ticker("MSFT")

# Income Statement
income_stmt = msft.income_stmt

# Balance Sheet
balance_sheet = msft.balance_sheet

# Cash Flow Statement
cash_flow = msft.cashflow

# Key Metrics
key_metrics = msft.info

# Example: Calculate P/E Ratio (Price to Earnings)
current_price = key_metrics.get('currentPrice', 0)
eps = key_metrics.get('trailingEps', 0)
if eps != 0:
    pe_ratio = current_price / eps
else:
    pe_ratio = 'N/A'  # When EPS is zero or negative, P/E ratio isn't meaningful

print(f"Current Price: ${current_price:.2f}")
print(f"Trailing EPS: ${eps:.2f}")
print(f"P/E Ratio: {pe_ratio}")

# Create a DataFrame for some financial ratios
data = {
    'Revenue': [income_stmt['Total Revenue'][0]],
    'Net Income': [income_stmt['Net Income'][0]],
    'Total Assets': [balance_sheet['Total Assets'][0]],
    'Total Liabilities': [balance_sheet['Total Liab'][0]],
    'Cash Flow from Operations': [cash_flow['Operating Cash Flow'][0]]
}

df = pd.DataFrame(data)
df['Debt to Equity'] = df['Total Liabilities'] / (df['Total Assets'] - df['Total Liabilities'])
print("\nFinancial Ratios Overview:")
print(df)

This example fetches financial data from Yahoo Finance for Microsoft and calculates a simple P/E ratio. It also constructs a data frame with some key financial metrics that could be expanded for more comprehensive analysis.

  • Note: Real fundamental analysis would involve much deeper dives, including forecasting future earnings, evaluating management effectiveness, and considering broader economic indicators. The above code snippet serves as an introduction to pulling and manipulating fundamental data.

Remember, fundamental analysis is about understanding the underlying business or asset's worth, often looking at long-term investment potential rather than short-term price movements.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

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