Tuesday, February 18, 2025

x̄ - > linear and nonlinear relationships

linear and nonlinear relationships manifest in derivatives like spots, options, futures, and forwards, wit



### Spot Transactions


Linear:

- Price vs. Quantity: In spot markets, the relationship between price and quantity is generally linear if we're considering the price at which an asset can be bought or sold at the current moment. The price does not change based on the quantity; hence, if you plot price against quantity, you'll see a horizontal or vertical line (depending on the axes orientation), indicating a constant price per unit.


Nonlinear:

- Market Depth: While the price per unit might be linear, the total cost to buy or sell larger quantities might not be due to market depth. As you try to buy or sell more, the available liquidity might change, leading to price impact. This would show as a curve, not a straight line.


### Options


Nonlinear:

- Payoff Diagrams: 

  - Call Option: The payoff of a call option is zero if the asset price is below the strike price, but then increases linearly as the asset price exceeds the strike. This creates an "L" shaped curve starting at the strike price.

  - Put Option: Conversely, a put option's payoff is linear below the strike price but then flattens at zero above the strike, forming an inverted "L" shape.


- Time Decay (Theta) & Volatility (Vega): The value of options changes nonlinearly with time to expiration and volatility. The Black-Scholes model, for example, shows these relationships with complex curves due to the logarithmic nature of option pricing.


### Futures and Forwards


Linear:

- Price vs. Time to Maturity: The price of futures or forwards can be seen as linear in relation to the spot price if we assume no arbitrage opportunities and constant interest rates. The futures price might increase or decrease linearly with the spot price over time, assuming all else remains equal.


Nonlinear:

- Cost of Carry: However, if you consider factors like storage costs for commodities or dividends for stocks, the relationship between the futures price and time can become nonlinear. As the maturity date approaches, these costs can affect pricing in a non-straightforward way, leading to curves rather than lines.


- Interest Rates & Dividends: Changes in interest rates or expected dividends can introduce nonlinear elements, especially if these changes are anticipated to occur over the life of the contract.


### Graphical Representation:


- Spots: A flat or straight line for price vs. quantity, but potentially curved when considering market depth.


- Options: Curves reflecting the payoff structures (like L or inverted L shapes for calls and puts), and complex surfaces when plotting against time or volatility.


- Futures/Forwards: Generally, a straight line if only considering spot price changes, but with added factors like carry costs, the graph might curve over time.




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