Friday, April 14, 2023

x̄ - > The binomial distribution

 The binomial distribution 

The binomial distribution is a discrete probability distribution that describes the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials, where each trial has the same probability of success. It is commonly used in statistical analyses to model situations where there are two possible outcomes, such as success or failure, or heads or tails.

If we have a binomial distribution with n = 40 trials and a success probability of p = 0.32, we can calculate the probability of getting k successes in the 40 trials using the following formula:

P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)

where X is the random variable representing the number of successes, k is a non-negative integer less than or equal to n, n is the number of trials, p is the probability of success on each trial, (n choose k) is the binomial coefficient, and (1 - p)^(n - k) is the probability of failure on each of the remaining trials.

For example, if we want to calculate the probability of getting exactly 10 successes in the 40 trials, we can substitute k = 10, n = 40, and p = 0.32 into the formula to get:

P(X = 10) = (40 choose 10) * 0.32^10 * (1 - 0.32)^(40 - 10) ≈ 0.089

This means that the probability of getting exactly 10 successes in the 40 trials is approximately 0.089, or about 8.9%.

We can also use the binomial distribution to calculate other probabilities, such as the probability of getting at least k successes or at most k successes. These calculations can be useful in a variety of statistical analyses, such as hypothesis testing, quality control, and risk management.

binomial distribution | number of trials | n = 40

probability of success | p = 0.32

mean | 12.8

standard deviation | 2.95025

variance | 8.704

skewness | 0.122023

kurtosis | 2.96489

P (X = x) = piecewise | 0.32^x 0.68^(40 - x) binomial(40, x) | 0<=x<=40

0 | (otherwise)


P (X<=x) = piecewise | I_0.68(40 - floor(x), floor(x) + 1) | 0<=x<40
1 | x>=40

all successes | 1.607×10^-18%
all failures | 1.997×10^-5%
at least one success | (100 - 1.997×10^-5)%
at least one failure | (100 - 1.607×10^-18)%




1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Well done, good job, or approval

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